Akademik Veri Yönetim Sistemi
METU Studies in Development, cilt.39, sa.2, ss.259-282, 2012 (Hakemli Dergi)
Forecasting (future studies in business) is gaining importance worldwide. As the world becomes increasingly global, technological developments have led to increasing uncertainty day by day. Technology, especially information technology, is changing business and its environment. Managers need to consider future possibilities for making decisions in a competitive environment. The main purpose of this study is to anticipate the future of organizational design based on expert predictions about changes in the dimensions of organizational design over the next decade. Nowadays, the most important factor to influence organizational design is technology, so this study tries to forecast the future of organizational design and taking the influence of information technology into consideration. The future of organizational design over the next ten decade is analyzed in terms of complexity, centralization and formalization. In this study, the Delphi method is used to analyze the experts' opinion about the future. When formulating the Delphi statements, preliminary study's results was used and also worked as a team with six academics. The sample of experts used in the study consisted of consultants working for a world-leading technology and management consultancy company operating out of Turkey. This selection was made because it was the neccessary to take the effects of information technology on organization.