The Impact of Macroeconomic Fluctuations on Stock Exchange Markets A Comparative Analysis on CEECs


Ersoy İ. S.

Journal of Modern Accounting and Editing, cilt.7, ss.1-13, 2011 (Hakemli Dergi)

  • Yayın Türü: Makale / Tam Makale
  • Cilt numarası: 7
  • Basım Tarihi: 2011
  • Dergi Adı: Journal of Modern Accounting and Editing
  • Derginin Tarandığı İndeksler: EBSCO Education Source
  • Sayfa Sayıları: ss.1-13
  • Marmara Üniversitesi Adresli: Evet

Özet

Stock exchange market responses to macroeconomic fluctuations show deviations between countries in terms of direction, magnitude and duration due to the idiosyncratic characteristics of the countries. The paper empirically searches for the identification of these variations for CEECs, namely Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, Slovak Republic and also Turkey for the period of December, 1999-December, 2009. The empirical analyses demonstrate that for each CEEC, stock exchange market responds positively to industrial production and to appreciation of local currency. Czech Republic and Hungary display negative and the rest display positive response to M1, whereas the response of stock market to CB policy rate shows mixed results for each country. Besides, foreign exchange market returns are found to be the variable with the highest significance in explaining the stock exchange market returns. These findings point out to arbitrage opportunities for investors and gives insight to Monetary Policy Authorities about the Monetary Transmission Mechanisms of the countries.