Poverty and Employment Dependency in OECD Countries: A Comparative Empirical Analysis of Different Convergence Clubs


Acet Dönmez G., Yılmaz A.

31st Conference on Economics (TEA2024) , Muğla, Türkiye, 31 Ekim - 02 Kasım 2024, ss.47, (Özet Bildiri)

  • Yayın Türü: Bildiri / Özet Bildiri
  • Basıldığı Şehir: Muğla
  • Basıldığı Ülke: Türkiye
  • Sayfa Sayıları: ss.47
  • Marmara Üniversitesi Adresli: Evet

Özet

Poverty has been one of the most prominent socioeconomic challenges globally for centuries, but it can be alleviated if its main roots are revealed. Employment-related factors and household dependency may considerably explain poverty. In this study, we merge the concepts of employment and dependency, and produce a variable called employment dependency. We define employment dependency as the ratio of the total population to the employed population and observe a notable variation between countries. This variable indicates how many people an employed person maintains on average. We define poverty as the ratio of the population who have difficulty in making ends and investigate the connection between poverty rates and employment dependency ratios in 27 OECD countries for the 2004-2021 period. We estimate a fractional probit model by controlling for average wage levels and social expenditures. Findings reveal that an increase in employment dependency rates significantly exacerbates poverty rates. Afterwards, considering the heterogeneity of the countries, we apply the PS club convergence analysis and identify three convergence clubs. Applying the fractional probit estimations separately for the clubs we conclude that factors influencing poverty rates differ between clubs and therefore differentiated poverty alleviation strategies are required rather than a one-size-fits-all approach.