Prognostic markers in pediatric dilated cardiomyopathy: Focus on the neutrophil‑to‑lymphocyte ratio and the systemic inflammatory index


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Arıcı Ş., Akalın F.

EXPERIMENTAL AND THERAPEUTIC MEDICINE, cilt.30, sa.244, ss.1-10, 2025 (SCI-Expanded)

Özet

Abstract. Dilated cardiomyopathy (DCM) is a major cause of

heart failure and transplantation in children. Despite advances

in care, predicting outcomes remains difficult. Inflammatory

markers, such as the neutrophil‑to‑lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and

the systemic inflammatory index (SII), have demonstrated prog‑

nostic value in adults, but their role in pediatric DCM remains

unclear. The present study aimed to assess the association of

NLR, SII and other clinical, laboratory and echocardiographic

parameters with mortality in pediatric DCM. In the present

retrospective single‑center study, 52 pediatric patients with

DCM diagnosed between January 2000 and June 2021 were

analyzed. Demographic, clinical, laboratory and echocardio‑

graphic data at diagnosis were collected from hospital electronic

medical records. NLR and SII were calculated from complete

blood counts, whereas mortality was the primary outcome.

Statistical methods included receiver operating characteristic

(ROC) curve analysis, Kaplan‑Meier survival estimates and Cox

regression. In the present study, 16 patients (30.8%) succumbed

during follow‑up, and NLR and SII were found to be signifi‑

cantly higher in deceased patients compared with survivors

(P=0.003 and P=0.016, respectively). ROC analysis confirmed

the predictive value of NLR (AUC, 0.785) and SII (AUC, 0.728).

The optimal cut‑off values were >2.75 for NLR and >1,428,898

for SII. Cox regression identified parameters associated with

mortality, including low serum sodium and magnesium levels,

elevated NLR and SII, reduced mitral E wave velocity and

positive family history of DCM. In conclusion, elevated NLR

and SII at diagnosis are associated with increased mortality in

pediatric patients with DCM. As cost‑effective and easily acces‑

sible markers of systemic inflammation, these indices may serve

as useful adjuncts to conventional risk assessment, particularly

in settings with limited access to advanced laboratory testing.

However, further prospective multicenter studies are needed to

validate their prognostic role.