Covid-19, sovereign risk and monetary policy: Evidence from the European Monetary Union


YILDIRIM KARAMAN S.

Central Bank Review, cilt.22, ss.99-107, 2022 (ESCI) identifier identifier

  • Yayın Türü: Makale / Tam Makale
  • Cilt numarası: 22
  • Basım Tarihi: 2022
  • Doi Numarası: 10.1016/j.cbrev.2022.08.001
  • Dergi Adı: Central Bank Review
  • Derginin Tarandığı İndeksler: Emerging Sources Citation Index (ESCI), Scopus, TR DİZİN (ULAKBİM)
  • Sayfa Sayıları: ss.99-107
  • Anahtar Kelimeler: Covid-19, Monetary policy, Financial distress, Sovereign risk, Bond yields, CDS rates, INTEREST-RATES, IMPACT
  • Marmara Üniversitesi Adresli: Evet

Özet

This paper investigates the impact of Covid-19 pandemic and monetary policy measures adopted by the European Central Bank (ECB) on the sovereign risk for the European Monetary Union (EMU) countries for the period between March-2020 and November-2020 using daily data. The impact of Covid-19 and monetary policy shocks on the credit default swap rates and bond yields are investigated relying on a fixed effects panel regression model for five core (Germany, France, Austria, Netherlands, Belgium) and three periphery (Italy, Portugal and Spain) countries. To investigate the cross-country differences in responses, the interactions of the independent variables with periphery dummy and other country -specific variables are included in the regressions. The results of the empirical analysis suggest that Covid-19 shock increased the sovereign risk in the periphery EMU countries significantly and monetary policy measures have been effective in easing financial conditions in these countries. The results are insignificant for the core countries. The results also show that financial stability alleviates the negative impact of Covid-19 on the sovereign risk.(c) 2022 The Author. Published by Elsevier B.V. on behalf of Central Bank of The Republic of Turkey. This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4. 0/).